First Published: 2012-02-27

 

Israel judges third Intifada 'unlikely' this year

 

Foreign ministry’s report judges Palestinians will continue to seize all opportunities to isolate Israel on international stage.

 

Middle East Online

Unlikely but

JERUSALEM - A third Palestinian intifada is "unlikely" this year, according to an internal report by Israel's foreign ministry, which says the Palestinians will instead seek diplomatic isolation of the Jewish state.

"This report, which is more than 100 pages long, judges that an explosion of generalised violence in the form of a third intifada is unlikely," said an official, who described the report to AFP on condition of anonymity.

The report, he said, is produced by the ministry's intelligence service and was recently given to the government.

"The editors of this document were charged with a round-up of the past year and envisaging different scenarios for the current year," he said.

"For the Palestinians, they judged that they will continue to seize all opportunities to isolate Israel on the international stage," he added, referring in particular to Palestinian efforts to obtain full United Nations membership.

"There is little chance that negotiations will resume to the extent that the Arab regimes do not support dialogue with Israel, either because they are weakened, like Saudi Arabia, or they are in the process of Islamisation," he said.

"The document also states that the Palestinians have no negotiations plan or proposed political settlement -- their sole goal is to put pressure on Israel."

The report covers both internal Palestinian politics and regional changes in the wake of the Arab Spring, according to the source and reports in the Israeli newspaper Haaretz.

It judges the reconciliation between the Fatah movement led by Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas and Islamist group Hamas, and their attempts to form an interim government of independents, as "little more than a facade," he said.

"Hamas will never let the Palestinian Authority set foot in Gaza again and the Palestinian Authority has no intention of making a place for Hamas in the West Bank."

According to Haaretz, the report also warns that the rise of a new government in post-revolution Egypt could affect future Israeli offensives.

"Incidents deemed provocative, such as a military operation in Gaza or in the Sinai, will likely lead to a tougher, sharper response than in the past," the newspaper quoted the report as saying.

And on Iran, the document reportedly warns that Tehran will seek to continue with its nuclear programme, which Israel fears masks a weapons drive, despite international sanctions, paying "prices it perceives as tolerable."

 

Libya jihadists declare Benghazi ‘Islamic emirate’

Carnage in Gaza Strip as death toll passes 1,300

Morocco king deplores unequal wealth distribution

US plans largest ever sale of lethal missiles to Iraq

Qatar invests in Israeli soccer

Identification of Air Algerie crash victims ‘could take years’

Philippines prepares to evacuate 13,000 citizens from Libya

Jihadists fight on more than one front in Syria

Sudan Christian woman chooses US as final destination to settle down

France moves to disband violent Jewish group

Chief of Iran Quds Force ridicules calls to disarm Hamas

US supports Israel with weapons, Gaza with sweet words

Syria Kurds battle jihadists killing nearly 50

West watches post-Gathafi Libya descend in chaos

Mosul’s residents rise up against jihadists

Militants fire at Tunisia army helicopter

Islamists capture key Benghazi army base

16 killed in Israeli shelling of UN school in Gaza

Italian fire-fighting planes to come to Libya rescue

Syria rebels advance towards Hama military airport

Bloodshed in Gaza surges amid no truce

Major western powers call for Libya ceasefire

US-Israeli ties sink to new depths over Gaza war

UN warns buying oil from terrorists could lead to sanctions

Air Algerie crash black boxes sent to France

Warning of Tripoli catastrophe after huge oil depot blaze

US, UN call for immediate Gaza ceasefire

Egypt army kills 14 jihadists in restive Sinai Peninsula

Calls for temporary Gaza ceasefire fall on deaf ears

Yemen army foils new Qaeda attempt to seize military posts

Investigators need ‘few days’ to probe cause of Algeria plane crash

Tunisia army suffers more losses in open war with terrorism

Jihadists advance amid escalation in Syria anti-regime offensive

Iraq Shiite militia takes bloody revenge against ‘Islamic State’ in Baquba

Fierce clashes kill at least 38 people in Benghazi

Israel resumes devastating military assault on Gaza

Thousands face famine as food security situation worsens in Somalia

Death toll in Gaza climbs as fragile ceasefire reveals destruction

Egypt summons Turkey charge d'affaires for second time in one week

‘Islamic State’ jihadists dynamite Shiite shrine in Mosul

US evacuates embassy staff in Libya over ‘real risk’

Investigators begin 'difficult' probe into Air Algerie plane disaster

Armed men snatch Head of Baghdad Provincial Council

‘Islamic State’ beheads Syrian soldiers in Raqa

Kerry in Paris for talks on long-term Gaza truce