First Published: 2012-11-11

 

IMF says sanctions causing small contraction in Iran economy

 

Economic performance in Iran shows small contraction because of Western ban on oil exports whose impact is spilling over into other sectors.

 

Middle East Online

IMF puts Iran's inflation this year at 25.2%

DUBAI - Economic performance in Iran has shown a small contraction because of a Western ban on oil exports whose impact is spilling over into other sectors, the International Monetary Fund said on Sunday.

"The projection that we have shows small contraction in Iran economy during 2012 ... and an increase in inflationary pressure in the same period," the IMF's head of Middle East and Central Asia, Masood Ahmed, said in Dubai where he presented the Fund's Regional Economic Outlook report.

IMF figures released last month forecast an economic contraction in Iran of 0.9 percent this year, and mild growth of 0.8 percent in 2013.

The figures compare to 2.0-percent growth in 2011 and 5.9 percent in 2010.

"This deterioration reflects both lower oil production, which is in part because of the external constraints and the spillover impact of that on the rest of the economy," he said.

According to IMF projections, Iran's oil exports have dropped to 1.25 million barrels per day this year, compared with 2.14 million bpd last year.

He pointed out that the drop took place even though "other parts of the economy have done well, such as agriculture."

"It is important to remember that the economy is quite a diversified economy in Iran. The oil as a share of the GDP is not as large as other oil exporters," Ahmed said.

Agriculture contributes some 10 percent of the Islamic republic's GDP, while industry, including oil, accounts for about 40 percent, and services amount to about half the output.

The IMF official pointed out that the projections did not take into account the sharp depreciation in Iran's currency, the rial.

"These projections were done before the very significant depreciation of the currency and the related increased uncertainty, which will likely have a further negative impact on the economic performance in the year ahead," he said.

Sanctions on oil exports have caused a shortage of foreign currency in Iran, sparking the collapse last month of the rial and sending inflation soaring.

The IMF put Iran's inflation this year at 25.2 percent, compared with 21.5 percent last year.

An EU ban on oil imports from Iran came into force in September. Previously, European countries imported about 20 percent of Tehran's oil exports.


 

Iraq sectarian violence reaches new highs

Gruesome videos put Syria opposition in dire straits

Humanitarian crisis threatens Yemen transition

Tunisia President urges Salafists to condemn terror

Untold stories of Iraq war photographers

Ban, Lavrov call for urgent Syria conference

Bahrain forces raid home of top Shiite cleric

Egypt police shut Rafah crossing to protest kidnappings

Four Syrian ministers, Nusra leader on US blacklist

Obama: Assad departure is only way to resolve Syria crisis

Showdown nears: Tunisia Salafists defy government ban

Iraq PM blames bloodshed on sectarianism

Top US general in Iraq for security talks

Kuwait Airways to acquire 25 Airbus planes

Egypt leader holds crisis talks with ministers over kidnappings

Peace Now: Israel wants to 'legalise' wildcat settler outposts

Expats barred from morning treatment at Kuwait hospitals

Five hostages released in Yemen

US-led navies flex muscles in Gulf manoeuvres

White House releases Benghazi talking points emails

UN assembly condemns Assad 'escalation' of Syria war

After more than eight hours, IAEA-Iran nuclear talks fail again

Jubaland region gets ex-Islamist Somali warlord as President

Moscow: UN adds fuel to fire with approval of Arab-backed Syria resolution

Donors raise $2.6 billion to help Mali chase away ghost of war

Ghannouchi defies ‘his legitimate sons’: No to Salafist meeting in Kairouan

Will Western nations turn their back on Egypt’s Islamist President?

Bahrain follows in footsteps of Kuwait: Tweeters get jail term for ‘insulting King’

Extremism targets last liquor shops in Baghdad

Islamist radicals gear up for new show of force in Tunisia

Past mistakes in mind as Mali aid conference kicks off

Free Syrian Army vows to punish members involved in abuses

Iran in parallel nuclear talks amid low prospects for breakthrough

Better late than never: Palestinian rivals agree to form unity government

Promises ‘not kept’ to eradicate Casablanca's infamous slum

Syria peace conference gathering momentum

65 years on, Arab Israelis return to Iqrit village

ICC prosecutor opens preliminary probe into Gaza flotilla

Egypt sues Coptic teacher for ‘insulting religion’

Syria crisis tours world capitals from Washington to Abu Dhabi

Was Jordan a transit country for Gathafi money going to Sarkozy?

Kuwait cabinet offers to resign as it seeks to circumvent grillings

Turkey bombings: Damascus wants truth, nothing but truth

Kuwait cabinet responds to grilling requests with parliament boycott

Jordan to host 'Friends of Syria' meeting next week