Turkey to launch intervention into Syria — and maybe into Iraq

Turkish soldiers stand next to a tank during a military drill

Turkey is preparing to send troops into northern Syr­ia, months after ending an intervention that an­gered the United States. At the same time, Ankara is ponder­ing a military response to the Kurd­ish independence vote in Iraq.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan used his visit to the UN General Assembly, which included a meeting with US President Don­ald Trump, to announce the cross-border operation into Syria.
“Our soldiers on the border are ready for a mission at any mo­ment,’’ Erdogan told a business forum sponsored by Bloomberg News. He later told Reuters news agency the Turkish troops would enter Idlib, a Syrian province bor­dering the southern Turkish region of Hatay.
After returning to Ankara, Er­dogan led a meeting of Turkey’s National Security Council. A draft resolution for a special session of Turkey’s parliament, quoted by Turkey’s official Anadolu news agency, gave the country’s armed forces the green light to send sol­diers to Syria as well as to Iraq.
Erdogan spoke of unspecified “sanctions” against the Kurdish in­dependence referendum in north­ern Iraq. Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said the referendum was an “issue of Turkey’s national security” and that Turkey would use its “natural rights.”
Turkey has had military exercis­es on the border of northern Iraq. Pro-government media in Turkey reported that the Turkish military could establish a buffer zone in Ira­qi territory to stop a possible flow of refugees from northern Iraq.
It was not known whether Er­dogan discussed a possible military response to the Kurdish vote in his 50-minute meeting with Trump. Following the meeting, the White House and the Turkish Presiden­tial Office said the two leaders had warned of “serious consequences” of the referendum.
Both the United States and Tur­key have warned the Kurdish Re­gional Government (KRG) in north­ern Iraq that the referendum would bring new turmoil to the region and would weaken the fight against the Islamic State (ISIS). The United States has called on the Kurds to postpone the vote but the KRG said it would go ahead. Erdogan has said his country would not “allow” the creation of a Kurdish state in Iraq.
Erdogan said the impending Turkish intervention into Syria was part of a de-escalation agree­ment brokered by Russia. The de-escalation zones, agreed by Turkey, Russia and Iran, would be further discussed in talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ankara, Erdogan told Reuters.
“Under the agreement, Russians are maintaining security outside Idlib and Turkey will maintain the security inside Idlib region,” Er­dogan said.
In addition to Putin’s scheduled September 28 visit to Turkey, Er­dogan is to travel to Iran on Octo­ber 4.
The planned Turkish action comes half a year after Ankara end­ed “Operation Euphrates Shield” in which Turkish troops and tanks moved into northern Syria in the Jarabulus and Al-Bab regions. The intervention was designed to check the advance of Kurdish forces there that are allied with the United States in the fight against ISIS.
There was no official US reac­tion to Erdogan’s announcement. The Turkish leader has publicly accused the Trump administration of supporting terrorists by sending weapons to a Syrian Kurdish militia fighting ISIS; Ankara says the Kurd­ish fighters are a subgroup of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), a rebel organisation that has been fighting the Turkish state since 1984. Washington says coopera­tion with the Syrian Kurds is purely tactical and will end when ISIS is defeated.
Besides their clashing priori­ties in the Syrian conflict, the two NATO allies have a range of other differences. Erdogan is calling on the United States to extradite the Pennsylvania-based Islamic schol­ar Fethullah Gulen, accused by the Turkish government of being behind last year’s coup attempt. Another source of friction is a US court case against one of Erdogan’s former cabinet ministers, who is accused of violating sanctions against Iran.
Despite their bilateral problems, Trump and Erdogan were all smiles at the start of their meeting on the sidelines of the UN General Assem­bly. Trump said Erdogan had “be­come a friend of mine” and voiced respect for the Turkish leader’s stance in what he called “a very dif­ficult part of the world.”
“He’s involved very, very strong­ly and, frankly, he’s getting very high marks,” Trump said about Erdogan, adding that US-Turkish relations were “as close as we have ever been and a lot of that has to do with the personal relationship.” Erdogan addressed Trump as “my dear friend Donald.”
Aykan Erdemir, a former Turkish lawmaker who works for the Foun­dation for Defense of Democracies, a Washington think-tank, said the friendly statements by the two presidents masked the fact that US-Turkish relations were severely strained.
“Trump is trying to manage the stormy relations between the US and Turkey at the interpersonal level,” Erdemir said via e-mail. He said the Trump administration viewed Erdogan’s Turkey more like a business associate than as a close ally with which America shared values and interests.
“Ankara is increasingly becom­ing a transactional partner in and of the Middle East that the US needs to manage for its continued coop­eration in a challenging part of the world,” Erdemir said.
Thomas Seibert
is an Arab Weekly contributor in Istanbul.

This article was originally published in The Arab Weekly.